Study objective: Although a prolonged heart rate-corrected QT interval (QTcI) is associated with an increased risk of mortality in the general population, its prognostic value in surgical patients remains unclear. We aimed to examine whether preoperative QTcI prolongation predicts short-term postoperative outcomes in elderly patients undergoing noncardiac surgery.
Design: The study was a retrospective analysis using the TriNetX network database.
Setting: Operating room.
Intervention: Assessment and categorization of preoperative QTcI.
Patients: Data of patients aged ≥65 years who underwent non-cardiac surgery between 2010 and 2023 were analyzed.
Measurements: Patients were categorized into four groups based on preoperative QTcI: long (500-600 ms), borderline (460-500 ms), high-normal (420-460 ms) and control (370-420 ms) groups. The groups were compared using a propensity score-matched analysis. The primary outcome was the all-cause 90-day mortality risk. The secondary outcomes included 90-day risks of postoperative new-onset atrial fibrillation (Af), ventricular arrhythmias (VAs), emergency visits, hospital readmissions, and pneumonia.
Results: In total, data on 519,929 patients were collected in this study. Pairwise comparisons showed that all QTcI prolongation groups demonstrated a heightened incidence of postoperative mortality, arrhythmias, and other complications compared to the control group. Patients with a long QTcI had a 3-fold higher risk of mortality (hazard ratio [HR] = 3.124, p < 0.001), Af (HR = 3.059, p < 0.001), and VAs (HR = 3.617, p < 0.001) than controls. The risks of emergency visits (HR = 1.287, p < 0.001), hospital readmissions (HR = 1.591, p < 0.001), and pneumonia (HR = 1.672, p < 0.001) were also higher in the long QTcI group than in the control group. A dose-dependent response was evident between QTcI and mortality as well as arrhythmia risk.
Conclusion: Preoperative QTcI screening effectively risk-stratifies elderly surgical patients, with a QTcI≥500 ms being strongly predictive of short-term postoperative mortality and other complications. Incorporating QTcI assessment into the preoperative evaluation may guide perioperative monitoring and management.
Keywords: Atrial fibrillation; Mortality; Pneumonia; Postoperative; QT interval; Ventricular arrhythmias.
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