Radiomics based on ¹⁸F-FDG PET/CT for prediction of pathological complete response to neoadjuvant therapy in non-small cell lung cancer

Purpose: This study aimed to establish and evaluate the value of integrated models involving ¹⁸F-FDG PET/CT-based radiomics and clinicopathological information in the prediction of pathological complete response (pCR) to neoadjuvant therapy (NAT) for non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC).

Methods: A total of 106 eligible NSCLC patients were included in the study. After volume of interest (VOI) segmentation, 2,016 PET-based and 2,016 CT-based radiomic features were extracted. To select an optimal machine learning model, a total of 25 models were constructed based on five sets of machine learning classifiers combined with five sets of predictive feature resources, including PET-based alone radiomics, CT-based alone radiomics, PET/CT-based radiomics, clinicopathological features, and PET/CT-based radiomics integrated with clinicopathological features. Area under the curves (AUCs) of receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curves were used as the main outcome to assess the model performance.

Results: The hybrid PET/CT-derived radiomic model outperformed PET-alone and CT-alone radiomic models in the prediction of pCR to NAT. Moreover, addition of clinicopathological information further enhanced the predictive performance of PET/CT-derived radiomic model. Ultimately, the support vector machine (SVM)-based PET/CT radiomics combined clinicopathological information presented an optimal predictive efficacy with an AUC of 0.925 (95% CI 0.869-0.981) in the training cohort and an AUC of 0.863 (95% CI 0.740-0.985) in the test cohort. The developed nomogram involving radiomics and pathological type was suggested as a convenient tool to enable clinical application.

Conclusions: The ¹⁸F-FDG PET/CT-based SVM radiomics integrated with clinicopathological information was an optimal model to non-invasively predict pCR to NAC for NSCLC.