Treatments and clinical outcomes in stage II colon cancer patients with 12-gene Oncotype DX Colon Recurrence Score® assay-guided therapy: real-world data

Background: The 12-gene Oncotype DX Colon Recurrence Score® result quantifies the recurrence risk in stage II/III colon cancer (CC). This real-world study investigated stage II CC patients whose treatment decisions incorporated the Recurrence Score® (RS) result.

Materials and methods: This retrospective analysis of a prospectively designed cohort included all stage II, mismatch repair-proficient CC patients who underwent 12-gene testing through Clalit between January 2011 and December 2016 and had available data with a minimum 3-year follow-up.

Results: The analysis included 938 patients {median age 68 [interquartile range (IQR) 60-76] years; 96% T3 tumors}. The median RS was 26 (IQR 19-33) and the three RS categories (0-29, 30-40, 41-100) included 65%, 24%, and 11% of patients, respectively. Chemotherapy (CT) use differed significantly between the three RS categories (14%, 36%, and 60%, respectively; P < 0.001). The CT and observation-only groups were imbalanced with worse clinicopathologic characteristics in the former. Among observation-only patients, Kaplan-Meier (KM) estimates for recurrence-free interval (RFI) and CC-specific survival (CCSS) differed significantly between the three RS categories (P < 0.001). Clinical outcomes by treatment (CT versus observation) within each RS category revealed no differences in RFI and CCSS in the RS 0-29 and 30-40 categories. In contrast, in the RS 41-100 category, the difference in RFI trended toward significance (P = 0.066), and for CCSS, a statistically significant difference was observed, with better outcomes among CT-treated patients (P = 0.035).

Conclusions: RS results are prognostic in stage II CC. Among RS 41-100 patients, outcomes were better in CT-treated versus observation-only patients despite worse clinicopathologic characteristics, suggesting that CT confers clinical benefit in high-risk patients.