Preoperative risk stratification models after radical cystectomy for bladder cancer: A multi-center study

Int J Urol. 2024 Nov;31(11):1278-1287. doi: 10.1111/iju.15560. Epub 2024 Aug 14.

Abstract

Objective: We investigated preoperative patient factors associated with prognosis in 263 bladder cancer (BC) patients undergoing radical cystectomy (RC). We also developed new risk stratification models for prognosis.

Methods: This retrospective study included patients treated at Tottori University Hospital and affiliated hospitals between January 2010 and December 2019. The relationship between preoperative patient factors and overall recurrence-free and cancer-specific survival (CSS) was analyzed. The modified Glasgow prognosis score (mGPS) was calculated using serum albumin and C-reactive protein (CRP) levels. Statistical analyses included the log-rank test and Cox proportional hazards regression.

Results: Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status (ECOG-PS), mGPS, and clinical tumor stage independently predicted CSS in multivariate analysis. A new risk stratification model included ECOG-PS ≥2, clinical tumor stage ≥3, serum albumin <3.5 g/dL, and serum CRP >0.5 mg/dL. Risk groups were defined as 0 factors (low risk), 1-2 factors (intermediate risk), and 3-4 factors (high risk). High-risk patients showed significantly poorer 3-year cancer-free survival: 86.9% (low risk), 76.7% (intermediate risk), and 50.0% (high risk).

Conclusions: ECOG-PS, clinical tumor stage, and mGPS are predictive of poor cancer-free survival post-RC for BC. Our model offers the potential for prognostic prediction in these patients.

Keywords: bladder cancer; modified Glasgow prognosis score; radical cystectomy.

Publication types

  • Multicenter Study

MeSH terms

  • Aged
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • C-Reactive Protein / analysis
  • Cystectomy* / adverse effects
  • Disease-Free Survival
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Neoplasm Staging
  • Preoperative Period
  • Prognosis
  • Proportional Hazards Models
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Risk Assessment / methods
  • Risk Assessment / statistics & numerical data
  • Risk Factors
  • Serum Albumin* / analysis
  • Urinary Bladder Neoplasms* / mortality
  • Urinary Bladder Neoplasms* / pathology
  • Urinary Bladder Neoplasms* / surgery

Substances

  • Serum Albumin
  • C-Reactive Protein