Performance of AI-Enabled Electrocardiogram in the Prediction of Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Steatotic Liver Disease

Background and aims: Accessible noninvasive screening tools for metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) are needed. We aim to explore the performance of a deep learning-based artificial intelligence (AI) model in distinguishing the presence of MASLD using 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG).

Methods: This is a retrospective study of adults diagnosed with MASLD in Olmsted County, Minnesota, between 1996 and 2019. Both cases and controls had ECGs performed within 6 years before and 1 year after study entry. An AI-based ECG model using a convolutional neural network was trained, validated, and tested in 70%, 10%, and 20% of the cohort, respectively. External validation was performed in an independent cohort from Mayo Clinic Enterprise. The primary outcome was the performance of ECG to identify MASLD, alone or when added to clinical parameters.

Results: A total of 3468 MASLD cases and 25,407 controls were identified. The AI-ECG model predicted the presence of MASLD with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.69 (original cohort) and 0.62 (validation cohort). The performance was similar or superior to age- and sex-adjusted models using body mass index (AUC, 0.71), presence of diabetes, hypertension or hyperlipidemia (AUC, 0.68), or diabetes alone (AUC, 0.66). The model combining ECG, age, sex, body mass index, diabetes, and alanine aminotransferase had the highest AUC: 0.76 (original) and 0.72 (validation).

Conclusions: This is a proof-of-concept study that an AI-based ECG model can detect MASLD with a comparable or superior performance as compared with the models using a single clinical parameter but not superior to the combination of clinical parameters. ECG can serve as another screening tool for MASLD in the nonhepatology space.