The combined use of the Charlson Comorbidity Index and National Early Warning Score 2 helps predict the prognosis of candidemia

Background: The National Early Warning Score 2 (NEWS2) standardizes assessment and response to acute illnesses using vital signs. Whether NEWS2 is useful in predicting the prognosis of candidemia remains to be determined.

Methods: Our study, conducted as a rigorous and retrospective analysis, examined patients with candidemia who were hospitalized between January 2014 and December 2023. We assessed candidemia severity using the Pitt Bacteremia Score (PBS) and NEWS2, while the Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) was used to assess underlying medical conditions. The endpoint was all-cause mortality within 30 days of candidemia onset, ensuring comprehensive evaluation of the patient's prognosis.

Results: Overall, 93 patients with candidemia were included. The 30-day all-cause mortality rate was 29.0 %. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) for CCI, PBS, and NEWS2 were 0.87 (95 % confidence interval [CI]: 0.80-0.95), 0.75 (95 % CI: 0.66-0.85), and 0.92 (95 % CI: 0.87-0.97), respectively, for predicting the 30-day mortality in patients with candidemia. The AUC values for CCI combined with PBS and NEWS2 were 0.89 (95 % CI: 0.83-0.96) and 0.96 (95 % CI: 0.93-1.00) for predicting the 30-day mortality in candidemia. Among the items that were significant in the univariate analysis, multivariate analysis showed that the combination of NEWS2 ≥ 10 and CCI ≥4 was the helpful prognostic factor for 30-day mortality.

Conclusions: The combination of NEWS2 ≥ 10 and CCI ≥4 scores may be useful in predicting the risk of 30-day mortality in patients with candidemia.