Identifying effective evolutionary strategies-based protocol for uncovering reaction kinetic parameters under the effect of measurement noises

Background: The transition from explanative modeling of fitted data to the predictive modeling of unseen data for systems biology endeavors necessitates the effective recovery of reaction parameters. Yet, the relative efficacy of optimization algorithms in doing so remains under-studied, as to the specific reaction kinetics and the effect of measurement noises. To this end, we simulate the reactions of an artificial pathway using 4 kinetic formulations: generalized mass action (GMA), Michaelis-Menten, linear-logarithmic, and convenience kinetics. We then compare the effectiveness of 5 evolutionary algorithms (CMAES, DE, SRES, ISRES, G3PCX) for objective function optimization in kinetic parameter hyperspace to determine the corresponding estimated parameters.

Results: We quickly dropped the DE algorithm due to its poor performance. Baring measurement noise, we find the CMAES algorithm to only require a fraction of the computational cost incurred by other EAs for both GMA and linear-logarithmic kinetics yet performing as well by other criteria. However, with increasing noise, SRES and ISRES perform more reliably for GMA kinetics, but at considerably higher computational cost. Conversely, G3PCX is among the most efficacious for estimating Michaelis-Menten parameters regardless of noise, while achieving numerous folds saving in computational cost. Cost aside, we find SRES to be versatilely applicable across GMA, Michaelis-Menten, and linear-logarithmic kinetics, with good resilience to noise. Nonetheless, we could not identify the parameters of convenience kinetics using any algorithm.

Conclusions: Altogether, we identify a protocol for predicting reaction parameters under marked measurement noise, as a step towards predictive modeling for systems biology endeavors.