Host blood protein biomarkers to screen for tuberculosis disease: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Non-sputum tests are needed to improve tuberculosis (TB) diagnosis and close the diagnostic gap. The World Health Organization's target product profile (TPP) for point-of-care (POC) screening tests requires a minimum sensitivity of 90% and a specificity of 70%. Our objective was to identify host blood protein biomarkers meeting TPP criteria. A systematic review was conducted and reported following PRISMA guidelines. Data extraction and quality assessment with Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies-2 (QUADAS-2) were completed for the included studies. Heterogeneity was assessed. For biomarkers reporting sensitivity and specificity in at least four studies, a random-effects meta-analysis was performed for biomarkers with similar cut-offs. We screened 4,651 citations and included 65 studies that enrolled 16,010 participants and evaluated 156 host proteins. Most (47/65) studies enrolled adult pulmonary TB (PTB), with 15 studies in adult extra-pulmonary TB and 5 in children. Small early-stage discovery studies with case-control design were common (24/65) and had a high risk of bias. For adult PTB, CRP, IP-10, NCAM-1, and SAA met TPP criteria in high-quality studies. There was a high degree of heterogeneity in biomarker cut-offs and study design. CRP at 10 mg/L cut-off was meta-analyzed from 10 studies; pooled sensitivity 86% [95% confidence interval (CI): 80-95] and pooled specificity 67% (95% CI: 54-79). In people living with HIV (six studies), CRP pooled sensitivity was 93% (95% CI: 90-95), and pooled specificity was 59% (95% CI: 40-78). We identified promising biomarkers that performed well in high-quality studies. Data overall are limited and highly heterogenous. Further standardized validation across subgroups in prospective studies is needed before translating into POC assays.

Importance: To our knowledge, this is the first comprehensive systematic review of host blood protein biomarkers for tuberculosis (TB), and we identified promising biomarkers for a TB screening test.