Association between hs-CRP/HDL-C ratio and three-month unfavorable outcomes in patients with acute ischemic stroke: a second analysis based on a prospective cohort study

Objective: The associations between the ratio of blood high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP) to high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) (hs-CRP/HDL-C ratio) and outcomes in patients with acute ischemic stroke (AIS) have yet to be established. This study is the first to examine the relationship between the hs-CRP/HDL-C ratio and three-month unfavorable outcomes in patients with AIS.

Methods: This secondary analysis utilized data from a prospective cohort study involving 1559 AIS patients recruited at a South Korean hospital between January 2010 and December 2016. We constructed a binary logistic regression model to explore the association between the hs-CRP/HDL-C ratio and unfavorable outcomes in patients with AIS. An attempt was made to use a generalized additive model (GAM) with smooth curve fitting to elucidate potential nonlinear interactions. Furthermore, inflection points were identified via a recursive method, and binary logistic regression models were developed for each side of these inflection points. Ultimately, a log-likelihood ratio test was used to identify the most appropriate model for explaining the connection between the hs-CRP/HDL-C ratio and unfavorable outcomes in patients with AIS.

Results: The incidence of unfavorable outcomes was 24.5%, with a median hs-CRP/HDL-C ratio of 3.64. After accounting for other factors, the binary logistic regression model revealed a statistically significant positive association between the hs-CRP/HDL-C ratio and the likelihood of poor outcomes in AIS patients (OR = 1.013, 95% CI: 1.005-1.022; P = 0.002). A nonlinear relationship was observed, with the first inflection point of the hs-CRP/HDL-C ratio at 42.74. Each 1-unit increase in the hs-CRP/HDL-C ratio was associated with a 2.4% greater risk of unfavorable outcomes (OR = 1.024, 95% CI: 1.011-1.038, P < 0.001).

Conclusion: This study provides evidence of a positive and nonlinear correlation between the hs-CRP/HDL-C ratio and poor three-month functional outcomes in AIS patients. When the hs-CRP/HDL-C ratio was less than 42.74, a positive association was observed with the risk of unfavorable outcomes. This finding offers a reference for optimizing early individualized therapy and aids in clinical counseling for patients with AIS.