Monitoring, simulation and early warning of cyanobacterial harmful algal blooms: An upgraded framework for eutrophic lakes

Environ Res. 2024 Nov 4:120296. doi: 10.1016/j.envres.2024.120296. Online ahead of print.

Abstract

Cyanobacterial Harmful Algal Bloom (CyanoHAB) is a global aquatic environmental issue, posing considerable eco-environmental challenges in freshwater lakes. Comprehensive monitoring and accurate prediction of CyanoHABs are essential for their scientific management. Nevertheless, traditional satellite-based monitoring and process-oriented prediction methods of CyanoHABs failed to satisfy this demand due to the limited spatiotemporal resolutions of both monitoring data and prediction results. To address this issue, this paper proposes an upgraded framework for comprehensive monitoring and accurate prediction of CyanoHABs. A collaborative CyanoHAB monitoring network was firstly constructed by integrating space, aerial, and ground-based monitoring means. As a result, CyanoHAB conditions were assessed frequently covering the entire lake, its key areas, and core positions. Furthermore, by overcoming technical limitations associated with high-precision simulation of the growth-drift-accumulation process of CyanoHABs, such as the unclear drifting process of CyanoHABs and the mechanism of its coastal accumulation, the multi-scale CyanoHAB prediction was realized interconnecting the entire lake and its nearshore areas. The implemented framework has been applied in Lake Chaohu for over three years. It provided high-frequency and high-spatial-resolution CyanoHAB monitoring, as well as its multi-scale and accurate simulation. The application of this framework in Lake Chaohu had significantly improved the accuracies of CyanoHAB monitoring, simulation, and early warning. This advancement holds significant scientific value and offers potential for CyanoHAB prevention and control in eutrophic lakes.

Keywords: Cyanobacterial harmful algal blooms; Early warning; Lake eutrophication; Models; Natural disaster.