Risk factors for falls in older people with pre-frailty: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Background: Frailty is considered highly prevalent among the elderly, and falls are a severe adverse event that occurs at a significantly higher rate in frail elderly patients, leading to serious consequences. The pre-frailty stage represents a reversible transitional state between health and frailty, and targeted interventions for pre-frail older adults can effectively reduce the incidence of falls in this population. Existing studies have not definitely identified the risk factors for falls in pre-frail older adults. This paper explores the relevant risk factors for falls in pre-frail older adults.

Methods: PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, Cochrane Library, CBM, CNKI, Wan fang, and VIP databases were searched for studies published from inception to 2023, without language restrictions. Observational studies were included in this systematic review that analyzed risk factors for accidental falls in pre-frail older adults. The NOS scale was used to evaluate the quality of cohort studies and case-control studies, while the AHRQ scale was used to evaluate the quality of the cross-sectional study. We utilized odds ratios (OR) and their corresponding 95 % confidence intervals (CI) to describe the statistical indicators. OR and 95 % CI values were directly extracted and organized in Excel. In cases where OR and CI values were not directly available, we extracted β and p values, calculated Exp using functions, and subsequently derived OR and 95 % CI using formulas. Finally, data pertaining to each risk factor were incorporated into RevMan 5.4 software for statistical analysis and effect size synthesis. We performed tests for heterogeneity and evaluated publication bias.

Results: A total of 14,370 studies were initially identified, and 26 studies were included in the systematic review. Among these studies, 14 were of high quality, while the remaining 12 were of moderate quality. A total of 16 risk factors were identified as potential risk factors for falls in pre-frail older adults. Significant risk factors were peripheral neuropathy(OR = 3.18, 95 %CI:3.02-3.35), decreased gait speed(OR = 1.90, 95 %CI:1.60-2.27), decreased ability to perform activities of daily living(OR = 1.57, 95 % CI:1.42-1.75), grip strength decreases(OR = 1.53, 95 % CI:1.17-2.00), gender (female)(OR = 1.51, 95 % CI:1.39-1.64), pain(OR = 1.47, 95 %CI:1.41-1.54), history of falls(OR = 1.20, 95 %CI:1.13-1.28) and age(OR = 1.10, 95 %CI:1.07-1.14).

Conclusions: The occurrence of falls in pre-frail older adults is associated with multiple risk factors. These risk factors can provide clinical nursing staff with specific focal points for monitoring this population and devising targeted fall prevention measures, with the aim of reducing the incidence of falls in pre-frail older adults.

Registration: The systematic review was registered on the International Prospective Register of Systematic Review (CRD42023450670).