HIV-related outcomes among migrants living in Europe compared with the general population: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Background: Compared with the general population, international migrants arriving in Europe face severe socioeconomic challenges that result in higher HIV prevalence and limited access to health care, potentially leading to negative outcomes. In this systematic review and meta-analysis, we aimed to investigate the incidence of HIV-related outcomes among international migrants arriving in Europe compared with the incidence among the general population.

Methods: We did a systematic review and meta-analysis to identify studies investigating HIV-related outcomes in migrants and the general population living with HIV in Europe. Six authors (EDV, VP, VS, SDG, MC, and RN) independently searched PubMed, Scopus, and Web of Science from database inception until July 22, 2023 (with an update on March 3, 2024), then screened titles and abstracts of all potentially eligible articles. Studies were included if they were observational studies; investigated clinical, virological, or immunological outcomes in migrants living with HIV; were conducted in Europe; had at least one control group of non-migrants living in a European country; and were in English. Titles and abstracts were screened for eligibility followed by a full-text assessment by two authors (EDV, VP, VS, SDG, MC, or RN). Data were extracted from articles using a structured Redcap form. Primary outcomes of our systematic review were (1) mortality, (2) AIDS-defining condition, (3) combined outcome of AIDS or death, (4) treatment discontinuation, (5) rate of loss to follow-up, (6) virological failure, and (7) immunological failure. Data were reported as relative risks (RRs) or odds ratios with their 95% CIs. The study is registered with PROSPERO, CRD42024501191.

Findings: Of the 1316 articles identified (1297 in the initial search and 19 in the updated search), 19 were included in our systematic review, consisting of 104 676 participants who were followed up for a mean of 79·3 months. The meta-analysis, adjusted for potential confounders, showed that migrants present similar mortality risk (RR 0·88, 95% CI 0·75-1·04), but higher risk for AIDS-defining conditions (1·23, 1·14-1·34), treatment discontinuation (2·39, 1·49-3·29), loss to follow-up (2·53, 1·41-4·53), virological failure (1·80, 1·25-2·60), and immunological failure (3·70, 2·17-12·50) compared with the general population. In subanalyses for WHO regions, people originally from the African region had higher risk for HIV-related adverse outcomes.

Interpretation: Compared with the non-migrant population, migrants living in Europe with HIV face higher risks for progression to AIDS, loss to follow-up, treatment discontinuation, and virological and immunological failure. Interventions aimed to improve HIV care among migrants living in Europe are urgently needed.

Funding: None.