Modified Textbook Outcome was a Predictor for Early Mortality After Oral Cancer Surgery

Background: To explore prognostic factors for early mortality among patients undergoing surgery for oral cavity cancer (OCC) and identify valuable strategies to improve patient outcomes.

Patients and methods: A total of 397 patients treated by primary tumor resection and neck dissection between 2017 and 2021 were retrospectively analyzed. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis were used to explore the relationships between the study factors and early death (within 12 months). Predictors were further incorporated into a nomogram for estimation of 1-year overall survival (OS).

Results: The mean age was 57.2 (SD, 9.8) years and 92.9% patients were male. The early death rate was 12.6% overall, 35.6% in patients with pN2-3, 22.3% in patients with tumor size > 3 cm, and 36.2% in patients with lymphovascular invasion. A non-modified textbook outcome (mTO), pN2-3, tumor size > 3 cm, and lymphovascular permeation were independent prognosticators for early mortality. A nomogram with the above-mentioned four factors were created with good discrimination and calibration. Among the pN2-3 or tumor size > 3 cm subgroup, a non-mTO, cancer resource center (CRC) visits, perineural invasion, and lymphovascular permeation were independent prognostic factors for early death.

Conclusions: In addition to traditional clinicopathological features, a non-mTO and CRC visits could serve as prognostic factors for early death in OCC. A novel nomogram had good discrimination and calibration. Quality improvements in terms of mTO and patients demanding resource support could improve survival outcomes in OCC.