Protocol for making forecasts exogenous in the International Futures model

STAR Protoc. 2024 Dec 20;5(4):103414. doi: 10.1016/j.xpro.2024.103414. Epub 2024 Dec 10.

Abstract

Understanding future dynamics and trends in human and natural development is foundational for creating appropriate policy strategies to address planetary and development challenges. Here, we present a protocol for adding exogenous series for key variables, such as the shared socioeconomic pathways, to the database of the International Futures (IFs) integrated model. We describe steps for installing IFs and the SQLiteStudio software, understanding the IFs database, importing series, running the model, and extracting results. For complete details on the use and execution of this protocol, please refer to Moyer.1.

Keywords: Computer sciences; Earth sciences; Health Sciences.

MeSH terms

  • Databases, Factual
  • Forecasting* / methods
  • Humans
  • Models, Theoretical
  • Software*