Evaluating the utility of end-tidal CO2 as a predictor of mortality in trauma victims: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Am J Surg. 2024 Dec 9:240:116130. doi: 10.1016/j.amjsurg.2024.116130. Online ahead of print.

Abstract

Background: Capnography has shown to be an invaluable tool in assessing trauma victims in different setups. To elucidate this, we conducted this meta-analysis to evaluate the utility of end-tidal CO2 (ETCO2) and the arterial CO2 -ETCO2 gap (PaCO2-ETCO2) measurements on predictiveness for mortality in trauma patients.

Methods: A systematic literature search was performed (01/1990-06/2023). The inclusion criteria included adult trauma patients, with mention of mortality. The primary outcome was evaluating the reliability of ETCO2 in predicting mortality.

Results: Seventeen studies were included, with total of 3445 patients. Mean age was 39.08-year, 22.3 ​% female. Overall mortality was 25.6 ​%, mostly retrospective studies. Mean ETCO2 in survivors was 31.45 ​mmHg, and 24.75 ​mmHg in deceased patients, (p ​= ​0.0128). Mean PaCO2-ETCO2 gap in survivors was 6.8 ​mmHg, and 15.0 ​mmHg in deceased patients, (p ​< ​0.001). Using receiver operator characteristic curve analysis, ETCO2 of 30.2 ​mmHg with high sensitivity to predict mortality.

Conclusion: Low ETCO2 or a wide PaCO2-ETCO2 gap were significantly correlated with poor outcomes in trauma patients. This easily obtained value can help predict those who need more aggressive treatments.

Keywords: Capnography; End tidal CO(2); Hemorrhagic shock; Mortality; Trauma; Traumatic brain injury.

Publication types

  • Review