Validation of polymorphic Gompertzian model of cancer through in vitro and in vivo data

PLoS One. 2025 Jan 9;20(1):e0310844. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0310844. eCollection 2025.

Abstract

Mathematical modeling plays an important role in our understanding and targeting therapy resistance mechanisms in cancer. The polymorphic Gompertzian model, analyzed theoretically and numerically by Viossat and Noble to demonstrate the benefits of adaptive therapy in metastatic cancer, describes a heterogeneous cancer population consisting of therapy-sensitive and therapy-resistant cells. In this study, we demonstrate that the polymorphic Gompertzian model successfully captures trends in both in vitro and in vivo data on non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) dynamics under treatment. Additionally, for the in vivo data of tumor dynamics in patients undergoing treatment, we compare the goodness of fit of the polymorphic Gompertzian model to that of the classical oncologic models, which were previously identified as the models that fit this data best. We show that the polymorphic Gompertzian model can successfully capture the U-shape trend in tumor size during cancer relapse, which can not be fitted with the classical oncologic models. In general, the polymorphic Gompertzian model corresponds well to both in vitro and in vivo real-world data, suggesting it as a candidate for improving the efficacy of cancer therapy, for example, through evolutionary/adaptive therapies.

Publication types

  • Validation Study

MeSH terms

  • Carcinoma, Non-Small-Cell Lung* / drug therapy
  • Carcinoma, Non-Small-Cell Lung* / pathology
  • Cell Line, Tumor
  • Humans
  • Lung Neoplasms* / drug therapy
  • Lung Neoplasms* / pathology
  • Models, Biological
  • Models, Theoretical

Grants and funding

This research was funded by H2020 Marie Sklodowska-Curie Actions (https://marie-sklodowska-curie-actions.ec.europa.eu/) (Award number 955708 [KS]) and Nederlandse Organisatie voor Wetenschappelijk Onderzoek (https://www.nwo.nl/) (Award numbers VI.Vidi.213.139 and OCENW.KLEIN.277 [KS]). The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.