Cost-effectiveness analysis of PD-L1 testing associated with pembrolizumab for first-line treatment of advanced non-small cell lung cancer in China

Background: Lung cancer is the leading cause of cancer-related deaths in China, and pembrolizumab shows differential efficacy in advanced non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) with different PD-L1 expression levels.

Aim: To assess the cost-effectiveness of PD-L1 testing associated with pembrolizumab for first-line treatment of NSCLC from the perspective of Chinese healthcare system.

Method: Over a lifetime horizon, a three-state partitioned survival model was developed to assess the cost-effectiveness of PD-L1 testing and no PD-L1 testing. In the PD-L1 testing group, patients were stratified by PD-L1 tumor proportion score ≥ 50%, 1-49%, or < 1% and received pembrolizumab monotherapy, pembrolizumab plus chemotherapy, or chemotherapy alone, respectively. In the non-PD-L1 testing group, all patients received pembrolizumab plus chemotherapy. Model inputs were obtained from published literature and a healthcare price database, and clinical outcomes from two randomized clinical trials were used. The net monetary benefit (NMB) was estimated for the PD-L1 testing group versus the non-PD-L1 testing group. Deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses, and scenario analyses were conducted to assess robustness of results.

Results: Using PD-L1 testing to guide treatment led to cost savings of $49,392.7 and a reduction in quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) of 0.234, resulting in a positive NMB of $46,421.7 at a willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold of $12,680.8/QALY (GDP per capita in China, 2023). Findings were robust across sensitivity and scenario analyses.

Conclusion: Using PD-L1 testing to guide first-line pembrolizumab treatment in patients with advanced NSCLC is a cost-effective strategy at a WTP threshold of $12,680.8/QALY for China.