In order to examine whether the existence of microalbuminuria can predict the development of overt proteinuria and cardiovascular death in Japanese subjects with non-insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus (NIDDM), we investigated 47 patients for a 10-year follow-up period. Patients were divided into two groups by the initial values of urinary albumin excretion rates. The percentage of patients who developed overt proteinuria during the follow-up period was significantly higher in patients who were initially classified as microalbuminuric group (63.6%) than in normoalbuminuric group (17.4%). During the follow-up period, one of the patients with normoalbuminuria had died of congestive heart failure, while four of those with microalbuminuria had died; one of stroke and three from noncardiovascular diseases. These results indicate that the existence of microalbuminuria had the predictive power for the development of overt proteinuria, but not for cardiovascular death in Japanese subjects with NIDDM.