A maintenance immunosuppressive regimen of cyclosporine and steroids after renal transplantation has proven to be a successful policy to obtain long-term graft survival. However, serious side-effects are associated with this therapy; these include an increased risk for infections, cancer, and cardiovascular morbidity and mortality. Therefore, this pilot study was conducted to investigate the possibility of reducing the immunosuppressive load after transplantation. To this end, we tried to develop an in vitro assay to predict graft rejection after withdrawing steroids from the immunosuppressive therapy. Patients who had stable renal function at least one year after transplantation were randomly divided into a group that continued to receive standard immunosuppression of cyclosporine and steroids and a group to be withdrawn from steroid therapy, the latter group being the subject of the present study. Patients withdrawn from steroids were monitored closely and when a biopsy-proven rejection occurred, steroid treatment was reestablished. Blood was collected from patients preceding steroid withdrawal and at fixed time points thereafter. In case of suspected rejection, blood was also taken before biopsy, before steroid treatment was reestablished. In the in vitro limiting dilution analysis-assays cytotoxic T lymphocyte precursor frequencies directed against kidney donor HLA-antigens were determined, in the absence or presence of cyclosporine and several concentrations of prednisolone and the combination of these agents. Confirming earlier results, we found that the number of cyclosporine-resistant cytotoxic T lymphocytes increased prior to a rejection crisis, while they did not change or even decreased in patients who retained normal graft function after steroid withdrawal. More importantly, the results show that 10(-7) M prednisolone in vitro differentially affected donor-specific cytotoxic T lymphocyte precursor frequencies in patients who experienced a rejection crisis after steroid withdrawal, compared with those who remained to do well. This heterogeneity could be detected before the start of steroid withdrawal. Therefore, we conclude that the present data justify a prospective clinical trial to investigate the possible application of this in vitro assay to predict for which patients steroid withdrawal might be considered.