Chronic myeloid leukemia (CML): prognostic factors and survival analysis

Sao Paulo Med J. 1996 Jan-Feb;114(1):1083-90. doi: 10.1590/s1516-31801996000100005.

Abstract

The prognostic value of different factors upon diagnosis of CML was analysed in 45 Philadelphia (Ph1)-positive patients. The median survival was 48 months. Univariate analysis showed 5 poor prognostic factors (male sex, under 45 years-old, bone marrow blasts greater than or equal to 10 percent, blood basophils greater than or equal to 6 percent and blood eosinophils greater than or equal to 6 percent) which provided for the development of a clinical staging system: Stage I with none or one factor and a two-year survival rate of 100 percent; Stage II with two or three factors and two-year survival of 72.2 percent; and Stage III with four or five factors and two-year survival of 0 percent (p = 0.00016). Multivariate survival analysis showed that combination of blood basophilia and bone marrow blasts had the strongest predictive relationship to survival time. We conclude that a combination of pretreatment factors identifies different risk subcategories in CML patients and is helpful in assessing the overall prognosis and the treatment approach.

Publication types

  • Comparative Study

MeSH terms

  • Adolescent
  • Adult
  • Age Factors
  • Aged
  • Basophils*
  • Blast Crisis
  • Bone Marrow*
  • Chronic Disease
  • Eosinophils*
  • Female
  • Follow-Up Studies
  • Humans
  • Leukemia, Myelogenous, Chronic, BCR-ABL Positive / epidemiology*
  • Leukemia, Myelogenous, Chronic, BCR-ABL Positive / pathology
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Multivariate Analysis
  • Neoplasm Staging
  • Prognosis
  • Risk
  • Sex Factors
  • Survival Analysis