Use of a clinical sepsis score for predicting bacteremia in neonatal dairy calves on a calf rearing farm

Can Vet J. 1997 Feb;38(2):101-4.

Abstract

In human, equine, and bovine neonates, early diagnosis of bacteremia remains a challenge for the internist. The objective of this study was to develop a predictive model for risk of bacteremia, based on a clinical evaluation system called the clinical sepsis score. Blood from 90 ill calves, 1- to 14-days-old from a calf-raising farm in the San Joaquin Valley of California was cultured. The calves were also scored according to a clinical score for hydration status, fecal appearance, general attitude, appearance of scleral vessels, and umbilical abnormality. Age, rectal temperature, heart rate, respiratory rate, and presence or absence of a focal site of infection were recorded. Prevalence of bacteremia was 31% (28/90). A logistic regression model indicated that high clinical score, presence of a focal infection, and increased age were associated with an increased risk of bacteremia in ill calves (P < 0.06). Calves for which the model predicted bacteremia with a probability > or = 40.8% were considered bacteremic, yielding acceptable sensitivity (75%) and specificity (71%) estimates. The predictive model was validated through a 2nd sampling of 100 calves (79 ill calves and 21 controls), of which 17 calves were bacteremic. The classification was 75% correct using the model, with an estimated sensitivity of 76% and specificity of 75%. Overall, results indicated that the model could be a useful tool for predicting bacteremia in ill calves in a clinical setting.

MeSH terms

  • Aging / blood
  • Aging / physiology
  • Animal Husbandry / methods*
  • Animals
  • Animals, Newborn / blood*
  • Animals, Newborn / microbiology*
  • Animals, Newborn / physiology
  • Bacteremia / diagnosis
  • Bacteremia / epidemiology
  • Bacteremia / veterinary*
  • Body Temperature / physiology
  • Cattle
  • Cattle Diseases / diagnosis
  • Cattle Diseases / epidemiology*
  • Cattle Diseases / physiopathology
  • Cross-Sectional Studies
  • Female
  • Heart Rate / physiology
  • Incidence
  • Linear Models
  • Male
  • Predictive Value of Tests
  • Probability
  • Regression Analysis
  • Respiration / physiology
  • Risk Factors
  • Sensitivity and Specificity