Design and analysis of trials of salvage therapy in acute myelogenous leukemia

Cancer Chemother Pharmacol. 1997:40 Suppl:S9-12. doi: 10.1007/s002800051054.

Abstract

Results obtained with a given regimen in relapsed or refractory acute myelogenous leukemia (AML) are variable. This often reflects variability in patient selection. We have developed a system to account for such variability that stratifies patients with refractory or relapsed AML into four groups: group 1, first complete response (CR) duration > or = 2 years and receiving first salvage treatment (S1); group 2, first CR duration 1-2 years and receiving S1; group 3, first CR duration 0-1 years and receiving S1; and group 4, first CR duration 0-1 years and receiving S2, S3, or S4 after failing S1. CR rates achieved in the four groups are 73%, 47%, 14%, and 0, respectively. This system is useful for comparing results obtained with different therapies and for assigning patients to treatment. At our institution, patients in group 4 are enrolled in phase I studies, and phase I1/2-II studies are carried out separately in patients in groups 2, 3, and 4. A phase I1/2 study refers to one in which the intent is to select for phase II therapies emerging from phase I trial results. The design is Bayesian, and although false-negative rates are relatively high, they are lower than those obtained if a drug for phase II testing is arbitrarily selected.

Publication types

  • Review

MeSH terms

  • Antineoplastic Agents / therapeutic use*
  • Bayes Theorem
  • Clinical Trials, Phase II as Topic
  • Humans
  • Leukemia, Myeloid, Acute / drug therapy*
  • Observer Variation
  • Reproducibility of Results
  • Research Design
  • Salvage Therapy*
  • Treatment Outcome

Substances

  • Antineoplastic Agents