As a part of the report 'Public health status and forecasts' 1997 recent developments in the health status of the Dutch population and its determinants are described. Developments until the year 2015 are forecast on the basis of expected demographic and epidemiologic trends, according to expert opinions. Important findings are the unfavourable trends in lifestyle factors in adolescents and the expected increase by 25-60% in 2015 of the prevalence of diseases of old age like cancer, cardiovascular diseases, diabetes mellitus, dementia, chronic nonspecific lung diseases, visual and hearing impairments and diseases of the locomotor system.