"The most populous middle-income countries are projecting declines in their working age populations between now and 2040 (for instance, China, Indonesia, Brazil, Colombia, Russia, Mexico, Vietnam, Turkey, and Thailand). Other imminent challenges include the expected decline of manufacturing jobs in middle-income countries, the changing nature of aid and development finance, and greater integration by developing countries into global value chains."
James Belcher’s Post
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[2017]
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Is the green transition inevitable? People have been asserting for a while that we're moving from fossil fuels to renewables. On the surface, it seems like a solid argument: Renewables are cheaper and drawing more investment, so the shift away from fossil fuels is just a matter of time. Except...how much time are we talking about? And are we really giving up fossil fuels? As of now, I see energy addition, not replacement. It's business-as-usual PLUS renewables. Energy and resource usage in rich countries was well over planetary boundaries before the current data center boom. Now there are multiple reports that increased demand is delaying long-planned decarbonization. Optimists assert that these are blips, with the world as a whole deploying renewables at a rate that will ensure the transition. Suzuki makes the case as well as anyone, acknowledging the need to both leave fossil fuels in the ground and to use less energy overall. But those things won't happen on their own, and they're certainly not a given. Until I see national plans for decommissioning fossil fuel infrastructure, I remain skeptical. Until we're actually leaving them in the ground, we're not "ending fossil fuels". We're perpetuating the problems that got us here, and grandfathering in the global north's fundamentally unsustainable rates of consumption.
The Green Energy Revolution Can Be Sabotaged and Delayed, But It Cannot Be Stopped | Common Dreams
commondreams.org
