A simple index using video image analysis to predict disease outcome in primary breast cancer

Int J Cancer. 1999 Jun 21;84(3):203-8. doi: 10.1002/(sici)1097-0215(19990621)84:3<203::aid-ijc1>3.0.co;2-u.

Abstract

Image analysis was used to investigate the prognostic significance of immunostaining for oestrogen receptor (ER), p53 tumour-suppressor protein and tumour cell proliferation (MIB-1) in a random cohort of 200 primary breast cancer patients with between 4 and 7 years of clinical follow-up. Image measurements of the percentage of immunopositive cancer cell nuclei (% positive nuclear area) were recorded for the above tumour features for each patient. Assessment of relative risk using Cox's univariate analysis indicated that tumour size, number of cancer-involved nodes, MIB-1 and ER % positive nuclear area were significantly associated with breast cancer disease outcome, i.e., relapse-free survival and overall survival. In multivariate analysis, tumour size, number of involved nodes, ER and MIB-1 % positive nuclear area were retained as independent predictors of prognosis, depending on the image measurement cut-point used. A prognostic model, which can be used without reference to nodal involvement, was constructed for tumour size, ER cut-point of 30% positive nuclear area and MIB-1 cut-point of 10% positive nuclear area. Kaplan-Meier analysis of this image-based prognostic index identified 4 risk groups with predicted 5-year overall survival rates of 93%, 83%, 76.7% and 61.5%. We conclude that image measurements of ER and proliferative rate can be combined with tumour size to construct a prognostic index which reliably predicts disease outcome in primary breast cancer without knowledge of the nodal status of the patient.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • Antigens, Nuclear
  • Breast Neoplasms / chemistry
  • Breast Neoplasms / mortality*
  • Breast Neoplasms / pathology
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Image Processing, Computer-Assisted
  • Ki-67 Antigen
  • Middle Aged
  • Multivariate Analysis
  • Nuclear Proteins / analysis*
  • Prognosis
  • Receptors, Estrogen / analysis*
  • Survival Rate
  • Tumor Suppressor Protein p53 / analysis

Substances

  • Antigens, Nuclear
  • Ki-67 Antigen
  • Nuclear Proteins
  • Receptors, Estrogen
  • Tumor Suppressor Protein p53