Predictive value of CEA and CA 15-3 in the follow up of invasive breast cancer

Anticancer Res. 1999 Jul-Aug;19(4A):2567-70.

Abstract

Background: The clinical usefulness of tumor markers in the follow-up care of invasive breast cancer is controversial.

Methods: In 1228 serum samples of 664 women with history of breast cancer, the diagnostic accuracy and predictive power of CEA and CA 15-3 for the detection of disease relapse was determined prospectively by analyzing the clinical course for at least 6 months after the measurement of the tumor markers in 1994.

Results: A total of 76 patients relapsed during the period of study. The diagnostic accuracy was 83% for CEA and 88% for CA 15-3. CEA and CA 15-3 had a positive predictive value of 27% and 47% as well as a negative prediction of 91% and 93%, respectively.

Conclusions: The low positive predictive value and sensitivity of these tumor markers clearly limit their clinical utility. Therefore, the effectiveness of routine determinations during the follow-up seems questionable.

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • Biomarkers, Tumor / blood*
  • Breast Neoplasms / blood*
  • Breast Neoplasms / pathology*
  • Carcinoembryonic Antigen / blood*
  • Female
  • Follow-Up Studies
  • Humans
  • Lymphatic Metastasis
  • Middle Aged
  • Mucin-1 / blood*
  • Neoplasm Invasiveness
  • Predictive Value of Tests
  • Recurrence
  • Reference Values
  • Reproducibility of Results
  • Sensitivity and Specificity

Substances

  • Biomarkers, Tumor
  • Carcinoembryonic Antigen
  • Mucin-1