[Multivariate analysis of prognostic factors in Philadelphia chromosome-positive chronic granulocytic leukemia]

Zhonghua Xue Ye Xue Za Zhi. 2001 Jan;22(1):5-8.
[Article in Chinese]

Abstract

Objective: To investigate the prognostic factors of the patients with Philadelphia chromosome-positive chronic granulocytic leukemia (CGL).

Methods: Clinical and laboratory parameters of 209 CGL patients at diagnosis were analyzed in relation to survival. COX regression analysis were used to identify the statistically significant prognostic factors.

Results: The median survival time was 57 (3 - 179) months, and 5 year survival rate was 48%. From the COX regression model, the four main poor prognostic factors were as follows: percentage of bone marrow blasts (>or= 0.04), percentage of peripheral blood blasts and promyelocytes and presence of erythroid precursors in peripheral blood. According to the prognostic scores, three groups of CGL were identified. The low-risk group was with a median survival time of 76 months, the intermediate-risk group with 56 months, and the high-risk group with 31.5 months (P < 0.01). The 5 year survival rate was 70.42%, 46.30% and 18.18% (P < 0.01), respectively.

Conclusions: A prognostic scoring system suitable for Chinese CGL patients was proposed.

Publication types

  • English Abstract
  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Adolescent
  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Child
  • Child, Preschool
  • Follow-Up Studies
  • Humans
  • Leukemia, Myelogenous, Chronic, BCR-ABL Positive / diagnosis
  • Leukemia, Myelogenous, Chronic, BCR-ABL Positive / mortality*
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Multivariate Analysis
  • Prognosis
  • Survival Rate
  • Young Adult