Prospective diagnosis of the initial prodrome for schizophrenia based on the Structured Interview for Prodromal Syndromes: preliminary evidence of interrater reliability and predictive validity

Am J Psychiatry. 2002 May;159(5):863-5. doi: 10.1176/appi.ajp.159.5.863.

Abstract

Objective: This study was conducted to determine the interrater reliability and predictive validity of a set of diagnostic criteria for the prodrome of the first episode of schizophrenic psychosis when based on the Structured Interview for Prodromal Syndromes.

Method: The subjects were patients referred for evaluation because of a suspected schizophrenia prodromal syndrome. For the reliability study, two to four raters independently diagnosed 18 patients on the basis of face-to-face or videotaped interviews. For the validity study, 6- and 12-month outcome data were collected for 29 patients.

Results: Agreement in differentiating prodromal from nonprodromal patients was 93%. The prodromal features had converted to schizophrenic psychosis for 46% of the prodromal patients at 6 months and for 54% at 12 months.

Conclusions: In small groups of subjects, these diagnostic criteria for the schizophrenic prodrome and the Structured Interview for Prodromal Syndromes showed promising interrater reliability and predictive validity.

Publication types

  • Comparative Study
  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
  • Research Support, U.S. Gov't, P.H.S.

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Diagnosis, Differential
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Male
  • Outcome Assessment, Health Care
  • Predictive Value of Tests
  • Psychiatric Status Rating Scales / statistics & numerical data*
  • Reproducibility of Results
  • Schizophrenia / diagnosis*
  • Schizophrenic Psychology
  • Severity of Illness Index
  • Videotape Recording