Background and purpose: Prehospital stroke scales should identify stroke patients and measure stroke severity. The goal of this study was to identify a subset of the 15 items in the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS-15) that measures stroke severity and predicts outcomes.
Methods: Using 2 distinct data sets from acute stroke clinical trials, we derived and validated shortened versions of the NIHSS (sNIHSS). Stepwise logistic regression and bootstrap techniques were used in selection of NIHSS-15 items. Areas under the receiver operator characteristic curve (C statistics) were used to compare predictive performance of logistic models incorporating differing versions of the NIHSS.
Results: The derivation analyses suggested the 8 NIHSS-15 items that were most predictive of "good outcome" 3 months after stroke, in order of decreasing importance: right leg item, left leg, gaze, visual fields, language, level of consciousness, facial palsy, and dysarthria. The sNIHSS-8 comprises all 8 and the sNIHSS-5, the first 5. In the validation models, C statistics were NIHSS-15=0.80, sNIHSS-8=0.77, and sNIHSS-5=0.76. Statistical comparisons suggested that the NIHSS-15 had better predictive performance than the sNIHSS-8 or the sNIHSS-5; the absolute difference in C statistics was small. There was no significant difference between the sNIHSS-8 and the sNIHSS-5.
Conclusions: Much of the predictive performance of the full NIHSS-15 was retained with a shortened scale, the sNIHSS-5. Shortening the NIHSS-15 will facilitate its use during prehospital evaluations. The sNIHSS severity information may be useful to triage acute stroke patients in communities and to provide a baseline stroke severity for prehospital acute stroke trials.