Aims: The aim of this study was to investigate long-term proportion and prognosis of healthy subjects with right precordial ST segment elevation without family history of sudden death.
Methods and results: We followed up electrocardiograms (ECGs) of 3339 healthy subjects (male/female 2646/693) who underwent periodical medical examination form 1992 to 2001 to determine the relationship between year-to-year changes of ST segment morphology and the risk of fatal arrhythmias. Inclusion criterion was defined as presenting either coved or saddle back type ST segment elevation (>0.2 mV) in the right precordial leads. The cumulative total subjects who showed Brugada-like ECG changes at least once throughout the follow-up period were 69 (male/female 67/2; age 47.9+/-8.9 years, 2.1% of total subjects). During a follow-up period, annual mean proportion of coved or saddle back type ST elevation in the right precordial leads was 1.22+/-0.23% (0.88-1.88%). The morphological pattern of ST segment elevation was saddle-back in 77.3+/-7.9% and coved in 22.7+/-7.9% of subjects. Throughout the follow-up period, 39 subjects (56.5%) showed changes in ST segment elevation pattern. Twenty-nine subjects (42.0%) showed normalization of ST segment elevation at least once. Sixty-nine subjects were followed for a period of one to 10 years (median 4 years, interquartile range 4-8 years). Only one subject with persistent saddle-back type ST elevation had episodes of ventricular fibrillation (VF).
Conclusions: The average proportion of healthy subject who had coved or saddle-back type of ST elevation in the right precordial leads without family history of sudden death was 1.22% and the risk of fatal arrhythmias was low (1/393.5 subject-years).