Prediction of survival for advanced cancer patients by recursive partitioning analysis: role of Karnofsky performance status, quality of life, and symptom distress

Cancer Invest. 2004;22(5):678-87. doi: 10.1081/cnv-200032911.

Abstract

We performed an exploratory recursive partitioning analysis (RPA) in 429 metastatic cancer patients who had completed a Functional Assessment of Cancer Therapy-General (FACT-G) and a Memorial Symptom Assessment Scale-Short Form (MSAS-SF) to define survival prognostic groups. The Cox model analysis also was performed. Both RPA and Cox models included Karnofsky performance status (KPS), age, FACT-G subscales, and MSAS-SF subscales as survival predictors. Of 429 patients, 348 patients (81.1%) had expired at time of analysis. The median age was 67 years (27-89), with median length of survival of 147 days. The RPA identified four distinct survival groups (p < .0001) with three variables: KPS, physical well-being, and physical symptom distress. The most significant split was KPS of 50%, followed by physical well-being score of 25 and physical symptom distress score of 0.6. The median survival time was 29 days for patients with KPS < 50%; 146 days for patients with KPS > or = 50% and physical well-being < 25; 292 days for patients with KPS > 50%, physical well-being > or = 25, and physical symptom distress score > 0.6; and 610 days for patients with KPS > or = 50%, physical well-being > or = 25, and physical symptom distress score < or = 0.6. The Cox model found, in addition to KPS (p < .0001) and physical well-being (p = .08), different predictors: psychological symptom distress (p = .0007), global distress index (p = .02), and age (p < .0001). We concluded that the KPS, quality of life, and symptom distress scores can be combined to define prognostic groups. Such models may be helpful for clinical decision making.

Publication types

  • Comparative Study

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Karnofsky Performance Status
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Models, Statistical*
  • Neoplasms / mortality*
  • Neoplasms / physiopathology
  • Neoplasms / psychology
  • Prognosis
  • Quality of Life
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Survival Analysis