Lesion detection and localization is an important task in emission computed tomography. Detection and localization performance with signal location uncertainty may be summarized by a scalar figure of merit, the area under the localization receiver operating characteristic (LROC) curve, A(LROC). We consider model observers to compute A(LROC) for two-dimensional maximum a posteriori (MAP) reconstructions. Model observers may be used to rapidly prototype studies that use human observers. We address the case background-known-exactly (BKE) and signal known except for location. Our A(LROC) calculation makes use of theoretical expressions for the mean and covariance of the reconstruction and, unlike conventional methods that also use model observers, does not require computation of a large number of sample reconstructions. We validate the results of the procedure by comparison to A(LROC) obtained using a gold-standard Monte Carlo method employing a large set of reconstructed noise samples. Under reasonable simulation conditions, our theoretical calculation is about one to two orders of magnitude faster than the conventional Monte Carlo method.