Multimarker risk strategy for predicting 1-month and 1-year major events in non-ST-elevation acute coronary syndromes

Am Heart J. 2005 Feb;149(2):268-74. doi: 10.1016/j.ahj.2004.05.053.

Abstract

Background: The aim of this study was to define the utility of the combined measurement of troponin I, myoglobin, C-reactive protein, fibrinogen, and homocysteine to predict risk in non-ST elevation acute coronary syndromes.

Methods: Troponin I, myoglobin, high-sensitivity C-reactive protein, fibrinogen, and homocysteine were measured in 557 consecutive patients admitted to our institution for non-ST elevation acute coronary syndrome. The risk for major events (death or nonfatal myocardial infarction) at first month and at first year follow-up was analyzed.

Results: In a multivariate model adjusting for baseline characteristics and electrocardiographic changes, the only biomarkers related to major events at first month were C-reactive protein (P = .007) and myoglobin (P = .02), and at first year troponin I (P = .02), C-reactive protein (P = .03), and homocysteine (P = .04). The rate of major events depending on the number (0-5) of elevated biomarkers were at first month: 4.1%, 3.7%, 5.7%, 6.1%, 6.5%, and 30.8% (P < .0001), and at first year: 8.2%, 11.1%, 12.3%, 16.2%, 23.7%, and 50% (P < .0001). A simple score including the number of elevated biomarkers showed an adjusted risk of major events of 1.6 [1.3-1.9] at first month and of 1.4 [1.2-1.7] at first year.

Conclusions: Markers of myocardial damage, inflammation, and homocysteine analyzed separately provide prognostic information. The number of elevated biomarkers is an independent risk predictor of major events.

Publication types

  • Evaluation Study
  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Aged
  • Analysis of Variance
  • Angina, Unstable / blood*
  • Biomarkers / blood*
  • C-Reactive Protein / analysis
  • Electrocardiography
  • Female
  • Fibrinogen / analysis
  • Follow-Up Studies
  • Homocysteine / blood
  • Humans
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Myocardial Infarction / blood*
  • Myocardial Ischemia / mortality
  • Myoglobin / blood
  • Prognosis
  • Recurrence
  • Risk Assessment / methods
  • Risk Factors
  • Troponin I / blood

Substances

  • Biomarkers
  • Myoglobin
  • Troponin I
  • Homocysteine
  • Fibrinogen
  • C-Reactive Protein