Background: A retrospective survey of medical practitioners was undertaken to describe the tumour characteristics, management and outcomes of all superficial bladder cancers newly diagnosed in 1990 and in 1995 in Victoria.
Methods: Cases were identified from the population cancer registry. The survey was conducted in 1999 and the cohort followed up until 2000 to obtain at least 5 years of follow-up data on all patients, in particular to identify recurrence of tumour as assessed at surveillance cystoscopy and progression to muscle invasive cancer.
Results: Tumour recurrence was observed in 390/610 patients (63.9%), of whom 56.9% had their recurrence noted at the first check cystoscopy. Ultimately 43 (6.3%) of patients progressed to invasive disease, with this subgroup demonstrating 5-year overall survival of 35% (95% confidence interval (CI) 21-49%). Ultimately survival was proportional to the extent of tumour invasion, being greater in low-risk patients (76%, 95% CI 72-80%, mucosal disease only) than in high-risk patients (46%, 95% CI 36-56%, lamina propria invasion noted at diagnosis).
Conclusions: In low-risk subgroups of patients with superficial transitional cell carcinoma, the frequency of surveillance cystoscopy may be able to be reduced to levels in accordance with established European guidelines without a likely impact on patient survival. Where progression to muscle invasive disease does ensue, more aggressive management may be warranted in order to try to improve survival.