Background and objective: The determinants of the placebo effect are not well established. Goal of this study was to explore likely predictive factors in an already published data set.
Methods: We re-analysed data from a study in 120 patients with the irritable bowel syndrome (IBS) that were randomly assigned to three arms of the study to receive (double-blind) either a drug (mebeverin) (n = 40) or placebo (n = 40), or (in an open trial) dietary treatment (fibre) (n = 40) for up to 16 week. Treatment was conducted by 3 different doctors (A, B, C) with 44, 27, and 18 patients, resp. A fourth group (n = 31) was treated by different varying physicians. Symptoms were assessed every 4 weeks, and the degree of patient compliance and the number of drop-outs, the number of patients improved/not improved (in %), symptom severity (Kruis Score) at enrolment, and age and gender as covariates were included into the analysis.
Results: Drop-out rate was 30 % for placebo, 30 % for mebeverin, and 15 % for the diet. For the patients remaining in the study, average compliance was 75 % with placebo, but 89 % for the drug and 82 % for the diet. Response rates were 39 % for placebo, but 20 % for the drug; response rate for the diet (open trial) was 43 % under all doctors. Response rates for drug and placebo combined were 32 % for doctor A (female,43 years), but 19 % for doctors B and C together (both males, 32 and 40 years)); this effect was not significant. Placebo responders were more often women (47 %) than men (28 %), while age effects were only found with dietary treatment: responders were younger. Placebo responders had an overall lower Kruis Score than non-responders (45 vs 52 points), but this was also true for drug (52 vs. 62 points) and diet responders (56 vs 68 points).
Conclusion: The major factors contributing to the placebo response are the treating physician (gender, training), and the patients gender (female). Patients with lower Kruis score (more likely non-functionally disordered) may be prone to higher (placebo) response rates.