Prediction of survival after 48-h of intensive care following open surgical repair of ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysm

Eur J Vasc Endovasc Surg. 2005 Nov;30(5):509-15. doi: 10.1016/j.ejvs.2005.06.013.

Abstract

Objective: To identify predictive factors for 30-day mortality after 48 h of maximal treatment in intensive care unit (ICU) after repair for ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysm (RAAA).

Design: Retrospective study in the ICU of the university central hospital.

Materials and methods: Between 1999 and 2003, a total of 197 patients were admitted to emergency unit due to RAAA, and 185 of them underwent open surgical repair. A total of 138 patients survived at least 48-h and were included in a study to identify factors predictive of 30-day mortality by logistic regression analysis.

Results: Thirty-day mortality of all RAAA patients was 46% (87/197) whereas the 30-day mortality for those alive at 48 h was 22% (31/138). Forward stepwise multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that only organ dysfunction by SOFA score (sequential organ failure assessment) at 48-h, preoperative Glasgow Aneurysm Score, and supra-renal clamping in operation were independent predictors of death.

Conclusions: Degree of organ dysfunction by SOFA score was the best predictor of 30-day mortality in RAAA patients alive at 48-h after open surgical repair.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • Aortic Aneurysm, Abdominal / mortality*
  • Aortic Aneurysm, Abdominal / surgery*
  • Aortic Rupture / mortality*
  • Aortic Rupture / surgery*
  • Critical Care
  • Female
  • Finland / epidemiology
  • Humans
  • Length of Stay
  • Logistic Models
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Multiple Organ Failure / mortality
  • Multivariate Analysis
  • Predictive Value of Tests
  • Renal Artery / surgery
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Sensitivity and Specificity
  • Severity of Illness Index
  • Survival Analysis