Cost-effectiveness of diagnostic strategies prior to carotid endarterectomy

Ann Neurol. 2005 Oct;58(4):506-15. doi: 10.1002/ana.20591.

Abstract

The main objective of this study was to assess the long-term cost-effectiveness of five alternative diagnostic strategies for identification of severe carotid stenosis in recently symptomatic patients. A decision-analytical model with Markov transition states was constructed. Data sources included a prospective study involving 167 patients who had screening Doppler ultrasound (DUS), confirmatory contrast-enhanced magnetic resonance angiography (CEMRA) and confirmatory digital subtraction angiography (DSA), individual patient data from the European Carotid Surgery Trial and other published clinical and cost data. A "selective" strategy, whereby all patients receive DUS and CEMRA (only proceeding to DSA if the CEMRA is positive and the DUS is negative), was most cost-effective. This was both the cheapest imaging and treatment strategy (35,205 dollars per patient) and yielded 6.1590 quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), higher than three alternative imaging strategies. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis demonstrated that there was less than a 10% probability that imaging with either DUS or DSA alone are cost-effective at the conventional 50,000 dollars/QALY threshold. In conclusion, DSA is not cost-effective in the routine diagnostic workup of most patients. DUS, with additional imaging in the form of CEMRA, is recommended, with a strategy of "CEMRA and selective DUS review" being shown to be the optimal imaging strategy.

Publication types

  • Clinical Trial
  • Comparative Study
  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Aged
  • Carotid Stenosis / diagnosis*
  • Carotid Stenosis / economics*
  • Carotid Stenosis / surgery
  • Case-Control Studies
  • Cost-Benefit Analysis*
  • Endarterectomy, Carotid / methods
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Magnetic Resonance Angiography / economics
  • Magnetic Resonance Angiography / methods
  • Male
  • Markov Chains
  • Observer Variation
  • Predictive Value of Tests
  • Preoperative Care / economics*
  • Prospective Studies
  • Sensitivity and Specificity
  • Time Factors
  • Tomography, X-Ray Computed / economics
  • Tomography, X-Ray Computed / methods
  • Ultrasonography, Doppler, Duplex / economics
  • Ultrasonography, Doppler, Duplex / methods