Purpose: To investigate the feasibility of withholding antibiotics and early discharge for patients with chemotherapy-induced neutropenia and fever at low risk of bacterial infection by a new risk assessment model.
Patients and methods: Outpatients with febrile neutropenia were allocated to one of three groups by a risk assessment model combining objective clinical parameters and plasma interleukin 8 level. Patients with signs of a bacterial infection and/or abnormal vital signs indicating sepsis were considered high risk. Based on their interleukin-8 level, remaining patients were allocated to low or medium risk for bacterial infection. Medium-risk and high-risk patients received standard antibiotic therapy, whereas low-risk patients did not receive antibiotics and were discharged from hospital after 12 hours of a febrile observation. End points were the feasibility of the treatment protocol.
Results: Of 196 assessable episodes, 76 (39%) were classified as high risk, 84 (43%) as medium risk, and 36 (18%) as low risk. There were no treatment failures in the low-risk group (95% CI, 0% to 10%). Therefore, sensitivity of our risk assessment model was 100% (95% CI, 90% to 100%), the specificity, positive, and negative predictive values were 21%, 13%, and 100%, respectively. Median duration of hospitalization was 3 days in the low-risk group versus 7 days in the medium- and high-risk groups (P < .0001). The incremental costs of the experimental treatment protocol amounted to a saving of 471 (US $572) for every potentially low-risk patient.
Conclusion: This risk assessment model appears to identify febrile neutropenic patients at low risk for bacterial infection. Antibiotics can be withheld in well-defined neutropenic patients with fever.