Incidence and completeness of notification of Legionnaires' disease in The Netherlands: covariate capture-recapture analysis acknowledging regional differences

Epidemiol Infect. 2008 Apr;136(4):540-50. doi: 10.1017/S0950268807008977. Epub 2007 Jun 22.

Abstract

To estimate incidence and completeness of notification of Legionnaires' disease (LD) in The Netherlands in 2000 and 2001, we performed a capture-recapture analysis using three registers: Notifications, Laboratory results and Hospital admissions. After record-linkage, 373 of the 780 LD patients identified were notified. Ascertained under-notification was 52.2%. Because of expected and observed regional differences in the incidence rate of LD, alternatively to conventional log-linear capture-recapture models, a covariate (region) capture-recapture model, not previously used for estimating infectious disease incidence, was specified and estimated 886 LD patients (95% confidence interval 827-1022). Estimated under-notification was 57.9%. Notified, ascertained and estimated average annual incidence rates of LD were 1.15, 2.42 and 2.77/100 000 inhabitants respectively, with the highest incidence in the southern region of The Netherlands. Covariate capture-recapture analysis acknowledging regional differences of LD incidence appears to reduce bias in the estimated national incidence rate.

MeSH terms

  • Adolescent
  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • Child
  • Child, Preschool
  • Diagnosis-Related Groups / statistics & numerical data
  • Disease Notification*
  • Female
  • Geography
  • Humans
  • Incidence
  • Infant
  • Infant, Newborn
  • Legionnaires' Disease / epidemiology*
  • Legionnaires' Disease / etiology
  • Legionnaires' Disease / prevention & control*
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Models, Statistical
  • Netherlands / epidemiology
  • Outcome Assessment, Health Care*
  • Patient Admission
  • Registries