Nine-year psychiatric trajectories and substance use outcomes: an application of the group-based modeling approach

Eval Rev. 2008 Feb;32(1):39-58. doi: 10.1177/0193841X07307317.

Abstract

This study identifies longitudinal psychiatric trajectories of 934 adult individuals entering chemical dependency treatment in a private, managed care health plan and examines the relationship of these trajectories with substance use (SU) outcomes. The authors apply a group-based modeling approach to identify trajectory groups based on repeated measures of psychiatric severity for 9 years and identify four distinct groups. Results of multivariate logistic generalized estimating equation models find an association between psychiatric trajectories and long-term SU. Older cohorts and life course measures of marital status and employment status as individuals changed over time are related to drug and some alcohol outcomes.

Publication types

  • Research Support, N.I.H., Extramural

MeSH terms

  • Adolescent
  • Adult
  • California / epidemiology
  • Comorbidity
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Longitudinal Studies
  • Male
  • Mental Disorders / epidemiology*
  • Mental Disorders / therapy
  • Middle Aged
  • Models, Theoretical
  • Outcome Assessment, Health Care*
  • Severity of Illness Index
  • Substance-Related Disorders / epidemiology*
  • Substance-Related Disorders / therapy