Rate-difference method proved satisfactory in estimating the influenza burden in primary care visits

J Clin Epidemiol. 2008 Aug;61(8):803-12. doi: 10.1016/j.jclinepi.2007.08.017. Epub 2008 May 20.

Abstract

Objective: To compare different methods to estimate the disease burden of influenza, using influenza and respiratory syncytial virus-(RSV) associated primary care data as an example.

Study design and setting: In a retrospective study in the Netherlands over 1997-2003, primary care attended respiratory episodes and national viral surveillance data were used to compare the rate-difference method to other, more complex methods.

Results: The influenza-associated excess estimated by the different methods varied. The estimates provided by the rate-difference model lay well within this range. According to the rate-difference method, influenza-associated primary care consultations were present for all ages, including low-risk adults. The highest influenza-associated burden was demonstrated for children below the age of 5 years. The RSV-associated primary care burden was highest in the youngest age category and well above that associated with influenza. Significant RSV-associated excess was also recorded among adults, particularly in high-risk adults and the elderly.

Conclusion: The straightforward rate-difference model seemed satisfactory to estimate the influenza-associated burden. Significant influenza-associated excess was demonstrated among persons not yet recommended for influenza vaccination in The Netherlands. The RSV-associated burden was highest for the youngest children, but also significant for adults.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Adolescent
  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Child
  • Child, Preschool
  • Humans
  • Infant
  • Infant, Newborn
  • Influenza, Human / epidemiology*
  • Logistic Models
  • Middle Aged
  • Netherlands / epidemiology
  • Primary Health Care / statistics & numerical data*
  • Respiratory Syncytial Virus Infections / epidemiology*
  • Respiratory Tract Infections / epidemiology
  • Retrospective Studies