NT-ProBNP reduction percentage during hospital stay predicts long-term mortality and readmission in heart failure patients

J Cardiovasc Med (Hagerstown). 2008 Jul;9(7):694-9. doi: 10.2459/JCM.0b013e3282f447ae.

Abstract

We prospectively evaluated whether the N-terminal brain natriuretic peptide (NT-ProBNP) reduction percentage, during hospitalization for acutely decompensated heart failure (HF), has a prognostic significance in 6-month follow-up. In 120 patients consecutively admitted for acute HF to an internal medicine unit, plasma NT-ProBNP was measured on admission and at discharge. During a 6-month follow-up 52 (43.3%) patients had events: 9 (7.5%) died from cardiovascular causes, and 43 (35.8%) were readmitted for HF. In patients without events, the mean reduction percentage of NT-ProBNP was greater than in patients with events (39.5 +/- 7.4 versus 26.3 +/- 5.9%; P = 0.04). In receiver operating characteristic curve analysis, the mean area under the curve for NT-ProBNP reduction percentage was 0.63 (95% CI, 0.51-0.75; P = 0.04) for the composite end point (death or readmission), and 0.81 (95% CI, 0.65-0.97, P = 0.01) for cardiovascular mortality. NT-ProBNP reduction percentage less than 30% was the best cut-off for the identification of patients at risk of events. We suggest that in clinical practice the evaluation of change of NT-ProBNP levels during admission is probably more helpful than predischarge NT-ProBNP absolute value.

MeSH terms

  • Aged
  • Female
  • Follow-Up Studies
  • Heart Failure / blood
  • Heart Failure / mortality*
  • Hospitalization*
  • Humans
  • Italy / epidemiology
  • Male
  • Multivariate Analysis
  • Natriuretic Peptide, Brain / blood*
  • Patient Readmission*
  • Peptide Fragments / blood*
  • Predictive Value of Tests
  • Prospective Studies
  • ROC Curve
  • Sensitivity and Specificity

Substances

  • Peptide Fragments
  • pro-brain natriuretic peptide (1-76)
  • Natriuretic Peptide, Brain