The aim of this study was to evaluate serum midkine (S-MK) concentrations as a prognostic tumour marker in oral squamous cell carcinoma (OSCC). We measured S-MK concentrations in patients with OSCC and healthy volunteers. In addition, we performed real-time quantitative reverse transcription-PCR analysis and immunohistochemistry with fresh tumour samples. To determine whether S-MK concentrations have prognostic value, we performed survival analyses with clinical information by using the log-rank test. Serum midkine concentrations were significantly higher in patients with OSCC than in healthy controls (P<0.001). Serum midkine concentrations were also significantly increased in early-stage OSCC compared with those of healthy individuals (P<0.001). In addition, immunohistochemistry allowed identification of overexpressed MK protein in OSCC tissues. MK mRNA showed higher expression in OSCC samples compared with normal mucosal samples. Patients in high S-MK groups showed a significantly lower 5-year survival rate compared with patients in low S-MK groups (P<0.05). The increased S-MK concentrations in early-stage OSCC were strongly associated with poor survival. Serum midkine concentrations may thus be a useful marker not only for cancer screening but also for predicting prognosis of OSCC patients.