Predictive model of blood transfusion during CABG surgery in Pakistan

J Pak Med Assoc. 2008 Aug;58(8):421-6.

Abstract

Objective: To determine predictors of need for transfusion of blood and blood products and create a clinical predictive model to reduce indiscriminate use of blood products during surgery.

Method: We conducted a retrospective chart review of 485 patients who underwent coronary artery bypass surgery from January 2004 to December 2004 at a Tertiary Care Hospital in Karachi, Pakistan. Independent predictors associated with transfusion were identified and a clinical prediction model developed.

Results: The transfusion rate was 37.1%. A predictive model was created based on the presence of pulmonary disease, diabetes mellitus, low ejection fraction and recent/ongoing myocardial infarction.

Conclusion: The study identifies some predictors of need for blood transfusion in patients undergoing Coronary Artery Bypass Grafting. However, prospective studies with a larger sample of patients are needed to determine other predictors and their applicability in patient selection across institutions.

MeSH terms

  • Blood Transfusion / methods*
  • Coronary Artery Bypass / methods*
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Models, Statistical
  • Models, Theoretical
  • Pakistan
  • Predictive Value of Tests
  • Retrospective Studies