Quantitative risk assessment for verocytotoxigenic Escherichia coli in ground beef hamburgers in Argentina

Int J Food Microbiol. 2009 Jun 30;132(2-3):153-61. doi: 10.1016/j.ijfoodmicro.2009.04.022. Epub 2009 May 3.

Abstract

A quantitative risk assessment was developed for verocytotoxigenic Escherichia coli (E. coli VTEC) following hamburger consumption. The assessment considers initial contamination levels, cross-contamination and decontamination events during the cattle slaughter process and the distribution, storage and consumption patterns in Argentina and in similar countries in Latin-American. The model predicted an infection risk of 8.12x10(-7), a probability of Hemolytic Uremic Syndrome (HUS) of 4.6x10(-8) and a probability of mortality of 5.9x10(-9) per meal for adults. For children, the estimates per meal were 3.23x10(-7), 1.8x10(-8) and 6.31x10(-10) for infection, HUS and mortality, respectively. The risk of infection and HUS, were sensitive to the type of storage at home (r=-0.416), slaughterhouse storage temperature (r=0.240) and bacterial concentration in the cattle hide (r=0.239). There was an association between home preparation of hamburgers (r=-0.116) and the risk of illness, although this was a result of the type of storage at retail (r=-0.110) and at home and not their intrinsic characteristics. The most sensitive stages of the process were identified through the risk assessment and these can be used as a basis for measures of risk management.

MeSH terms

  • Abattoirs
  • Animals
  • Argentina / epidemiology
  • Cattle
  • Consumer Product Safety
  • Escherichia coli Infections / epidemiology*
  • Escherichia coli Infections / etiology
  • Escherichia coli Infections / mortality
  • Escherichia coli O157 / growth & development*
  • Escherichia coli O157 / isolation & purification
  • Food Contamination / analysis*
  • Food Handling / methods*
  • Hemolytic-Uremic Syndrome / epidemiology*
  • Hemolytic-Uremic Syndrome / etiology
  • Hemolytic-Uremic Syndrome / mortality
  • Humans
  • Hygiene
  • Meat Products / microbiology*
  • Models, Biological
  • Predictive Value of Tests
  • Risk Assessment
  • Risk Factors