[Long-term prognosis of serum and urine n-terminal proBNP levels and glomerular filtration rate in heart failure patients]

Background and objective: The amino-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) values are related to short prognosis in patients with heart failure (HF). This study evaluates the prognostic power of serum and urinary NT-proBNP levels, and eGFR values, in HF patients during a 60-month follow-up.

Patients and methods: We studied 93 HF outpatients (66 males, age 65+/-12). Primary endpoint was defined as cardiovascular mortality and secondary endpoint as cardiovascular mortality or admissions.

Results: Only serum NT-proBNP levels had a significant area under the curve for the prognosis of 60-month mortality and combined events, 0.70 (p=0.004) and 0.67 (p=0.019), respectively. Urinary NT-proBNP and eGFR did not have statistical significant areas under the curve. Patients with high serum NT-proBNP had the highest risk of cardiovascular death [44 (IC 95% 38-50) vs. 56 (IC 95% 53-59) months, p=0.0006] and combined events [33 (IC 95% 28-38) vs. 42 (IC 95% 28-38) months; p=0.027]. After the integration of serum NT-proBNP and renal function, patients with high peptide levels and low eGFR had the worst survival [42 (IC 95% 33-52) months; p=0.010]. Finally, only serum NT-proBNP concentration above 933 pg/mL was a predictor of poor survival (hazard ratio=2.81, p=0.033) and NT-proBNP above 550 pg/mL for combined events (hazard ratio=1.79, p=0.049).

Conclusions: Serum NT-proBNP levels were superior to urine NT-proBNP and eGFR values for predicting 60-month cardiovascular death and combined events in HF patients.