Purpose: Using multiple genetic markers, including cancer stem-like cells, we evaluated the clinical significance of circulating tumor cells (CTCs) as a prognostic factor for overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) in the peripheral blood (PB) of patients with colorectal cancer (CRC) who had undergone curative surgery.
Patients and methods: In a multi-institutional study, 735 patients with CRC were assigned to a retrospective training set (n = 420) or prospective validation set (n = 315). CTCs that expressed carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA), cytokeratin (CK) 19, CK20, and/or CD133 (CEA/CK/CD133) mRNA in PB were detected using real-time reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction assay.
Results: In the training sets, OS and DFS of patients who were positive for CEA/CK/CD133 were significantly worse than those of patients who were negative for these markers (P < .001). At each staging analysis, OS and DFS of patients with Dukes' stage B or C cancer who were positive for CEA/CK/CD133 were significantly worse than those of patients who were negative for these markers (P < .003 and P < .001 in Dukes' stage B; P < .001 in Dukes' stage C). In contrast, in patients with Dukes' stage A, no significant differences were seen between patients who were positive for these markers and those who were negative. Cox multivariate analysis demonstrated that CEA/CK/CD133 was a significant prognostic factor for OS (hazard ratio [HR], 3.84; 95% CI, 2.41 to 6.22; P < .001) and DFS (HR, 3.02; 95% CI, 1.83 to 5.00; P < .001). In particular, in patients with Dukes' stage B and C cancer, CEA/CK/CD133 demonstrated significant prognostic value. In validation sets, similar results were confirmed in patients with Dukes' stage B and C cancer.
Conclusion: In patients with Dukes' stage B and C CRC who require adjuvant chemotherapy, detection of CEA/CK/CD133 mRNA in PB is a useful tool for determining which patients are at high risk for recurrence and poor prognosis.