Predictors of positive head CT scan and neurosurgical procedures after minor head trauma

J Surg Res. 2012 Mar;173(1):31-7. doi: 10.1016/j.jss.2011.04.059. Epub 2011 May 23.

Abstract

Background: There continues to be an ongoing debate regarding the utility of head CT scans in patients with a normal Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) after minor head injury. The objective of this study is to determine patient and injury characteristics that predict a positive head CT scan or need for a neurosurgical procedure (NSP) among patients with blunt head injury and a normal GCS.

Materials and methods: Retrospective analysis of adult patients in the National Trauma Data Bank who presented to the ED with a history of blunt head injury and a normal GCS of 15. The primary outcomes were a positive head CT scan or a NSP. Multivariate logistic regression controlling for patient and injury characteristics was used to determine predictors of each outcome.

Results: Out of a total of 83,566 patients, 24,414 (29.2%) had a positive head CT scan and 3476 (4.2%) underwent a NSP. Older patients and patients with a history of fall (compared with a motor vehicle crash) were more likely to have a positive finding on a head CT scan. Male patients, African-Americans (compared with Caucasians), and those who presented with a fall were more likely to have a NSP.

Conclusions: Older age, male gender, ethnicity, and mechanism of injury are significant predictors of a positive finding on head CT scans and the need for neurosurgical procedures. This study highlights patient and injury-specific characteristics that may help in identifying patients with supposedly minor head injury who will benefit from a head CT scan.

Publication types

  • Comparative Study
  • Research Support, N.I.H., Extramural
  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Adolescent
  • Adult
  • Age Factors
  • Aged
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • Black or African American
  • Craniocerebral Trauma / diagnostic imaging*
  • Craniocerebral Trauma / ethnology
  • Craniocerebral Trauma / surgery*
  • Female
  • Head / diagnostic imaging*
  • Humans
  • Logistic Models
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Neurosurgical Procedures*
  • Predictive Value of Tests
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Sex Factors
  • Tomography, X-Ray Computed*
  • Trauma Severity Indices*
  • Treatment Outcome
  • White People
  • Young Adult