Prospective study of estrogen replacement therapy and risk of breast cancer in postmenopausal women

JAMA. 1990 Nov 28;264(20):2648-53.

Abstract

We prospectively examined the use of estrogen replacement therapy in relation to breast cancer incidence in a cohort of women 30 to 55 years of age in 1976. During 367 187 person-years of follow-up among postmenopausal women, 722 incident cases of breast cancer were documented. Overall, past users of replacement estrogen were not at increased risk (relative risk, 0.98; 95% confidence interval, 0.81 to 1.18), including even those with more than 10 years since last [corrected] use (relative risk after adjustment for established risk factors, 0.70; 95% confidence interval, 0.45 to 1.10). However, the risk of breast cancer was significantly elevated among current users (relative risk, 1.36; 95% confidence interval, 1.11 to 1.67). Among current users, a stronger relationship was observed with increasing age but not with increasing duration of use. These data suggest that long-term past use of estrogen replacement therapy is not related to risk of breast cancer but that current use may modestly increase risk.

Publication types

  • Research Support, U.S. Gov't, P.H.S.

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Breast Neoplasms / etiology*
  • Cohort Studies
  • Estrogen Replacement Therapy / adverse effects*
  • Female
  • Follow-Up Studies
  • Humans
  • Menopause
  • Middle Aged
  • Proportional Hazards Models
  • Prospective Studies
  • Risk Factors