Long-term impact of hypertension on renal allografts

Objective: We assessed the impact of hypertension on renal transplant function and survival in the past decade after introduction of mycophenolate mofetil and rituximab.

Methods: We examined the 184 patients who underwent renal transplantation from March 1982 to September 1999 and presented at our outpatient clinic from 2001 to 2011. They were divided into group 1 with mean systolic blood pressure (mSBP) >130 mm Hg and Group 2 with mSBP <130 mm Hg. We compared mean serum creatinine (sCr) levels for 9 years and 12-year actuarial graft survival rates. Risk factors for graft survival were assessed by Cox regression analysis.

Results: There were 75 group 1 and 109 group 2 recipients. The mean sCr level of group 1 was 1.59 ± 0.12 mg/dL and that of group 2 1.54 ± 0.10 mg/dL (P < .0001). Of note was that mean sCr levels of group 1 started to increase about 3 years after transplantation. Although 5-year graft survival rates of both groups were 100%, 9- and 12-year rates among group 1 were 97.3% and 90.5%, respectively, whereas among group 2 they were 99.1% and 98.1%, respectively (P = .0195). Cox univariate and multivariate analyses showed mean SBP to be the only significant risk factor for graft survival (P < .05).

Conclusions: We concluded that the hypertensive group showed deteriorating renal function from around 3 years after transplantation that lowered graft survival afterward, resulting in a clear distinction from the nonhypertensive group at around 10 years after transplantation. Mean SBP was a significant risk factor for graft survival. Hypertension may be a surrogate for a poor renal graft prognosis in the long run.